Get your brain in motion

Category: Statistics

A method to “prove” almost anything

In 2011, a group of researchers conducted a scientific study to find an impossible result: that listening to certain songs can make you younger. So how did they do it?

According to this TED Talk, the answer lies in a statistical method scientists often use to try to figure out whether their results mean something or if they are random noise. Here is the method: you should calculate the possibility (p-value) to achieve randomly the expected result (null hypothesis). If that possibility is below 5%, normally it is considered significant, meaning that there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis (the fact you are examining).

Though p-values are commonly used by both researchers and journals to evaluate scientific results, they’re really confusing, even for many scientists. That is partly because all a p-value actually tells us is the probability of getting a certain result, assuming the null hypothesis is true. Even though a p-value does not directly state the probability that the results are due to random chance, it usually gives a reliable indication.

Image Source: Pixabay – Goumbik

The best stats you have ever seen

In his TED talk, statistics guru Hans Rosling, makes a stunning presentation on broad social and economic trends. By any logic, a presentation that tracks global health and poverty trends should be boring; but in Rosling’s hands trends come to life.

Rosling’s presentations are based on solid statistics, illustrated by the visualization software he developed. The animations transform development statistics into moving bubbles and flowing curves that make global trends intuitive and clear.

How to be Happy

In this TED talk, statistician Nic Marks, founder of the Centre for Well-Being at the UK think tank New Economics Foundation, paints a positive picture of the future where it could be possible to lead happier lives while preserving our planet, introducing the Happy Planet Index.

He also suggests five remarkable actions that each of us can do to improve wellbeing, based on research and studies:

–          Connect
–          Be Active
–          Take Notice
–          Keep Learning
–          Give

Could this be the recipe for happier (and more productive) nations without costing the Earth?

New frontiers : Measuring, counting, self-tracking

“The use of metrics by individuals is rather less widespread, with the notable exceptions of people who are trying to lose weight or improve their fitness. Most people do not routinely record their moods, sleeping patterns or activity levels, track how much alcohol or caffeine they drink or chart how often they walk the dog.

But some people are doing just these things. […] What they share is a belief that gathering and analysing data about their everyday activities can help them improve their lives—an approach known as “self-tracking”, “body hacking” or “self-quantifying”………”

Read the article published by the Economist on this subject